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Markets Bet Big Trump Will Back Off Tariff Threats
Will the US President Back Down, Reach Trade Agreements, or Will Markets Panic at the Prospect of Further Tariff Conflict?
Austin Hodge
July 09, 2025
As U.S. President Donald Trump cranks up the volume on his tariff threats, financial markets are responding with a collective shrug rather than a shudder. It seems Wall Street might be onto something—betting that Trump's bravado won't translate into a full-blown trade skirmish. Traders have priced in steady rate cuts, dismissing the tariff tantrum, and are seemingly unruffled by Trump's ultimatum, clinging to the belief that the TACO theory—Trump Always Chickens Out—holds truth. Meanwhile, the dollar edges up and Bitcoin meanders quietly above $105,000. With finance behaving like a stubborn poker player refusing to fold, what lies beneath this calm surface? Let's dive in!
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